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“It’s About The Nuts And Bolts”: Why African-American Voters May Doom Bernie Sanders’ Candidacy

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are now arguing about race, and like many such arguments in campaigns, it has nothing to do with any substantive difference between them on policy issues. But the stakes could hardly be higher — indeed, it’s no exaggeration to say that if Sanders can’t find a way to win over large numbers of African-American voters, he will have virtually no chance of winning the Democratic nomination for president.

Which is why, when Sanders released an ad showing him amidst his many adoring supporters, Clinton ally David Brock, who runs about a hundred different super PACs and other organizations devoted to getting her elected (I exaggerate, but only slightly) gave an interview in which he said: “From this ad, it seems black lives don’t matter much to Bernie Sanders.” Because of course, if the crowd shots in his ad aren’t diverse enough, that must mean Sanders doesn’t care whether black people live or die. (Full disclosure: some years ago I worked for David Brock for a time.)

Naturally, the Sanders campaign was outraged, but Brock’s attack cleverly alluded to the period last summer and fall when Black Lives Matter activists were interrupting Sanders at speeches and pushing him to endorse their agenda. Sanders was the perfect target for those actions, because he’s a liberal eager to show African-Americans that he’s on their side, but also someone likely to make the kind of verbal slips that would allow them to criticize him.

That’s because despite his commitment to civil rights, Sanders hasn’t spent his political career in an environment where African-Americans are what they are in most of the country: the very heart of the Democratic coalition. Since Vermont is 95 percent white, Sanders hasn’t had to build up the kind of partnerships and habits of mind and work that other Democrats do, which is just one of the reasons he has a steep hill to climb with African-Americans.

What I mean by habits of mind and work is this: Every politician and political organizer has things they learn to do by reflex in order to make sure the groups whose help they need are appropriately cared for. For instance, if you work on a Democratic campaign, you’d damn well better make sure that every flyer you print up has a union “bug” on it, the tiny mark showing it was printed at a union shop. And when you have a public event, you make sure that the people in view of the camera are appropriately diverse. I have a vivid memory of a photo-op on a campaign I worked on as a young man, when one of the campaign’s senior staff, an African-American, looked at one such array of supporters positioned behind the candidate and saw that the black people were mostly on one side and the whites were on the other. “Why don’t we salt-and-pepper this up a bit?”, he said, and everyone looked around, immediately understood what he meant, and shifted positions.

But it’s about a lot more than optics. One of Sanders’ many challenges is to turn a campaign built on idealism and vision into a machine that can turn out votes on the ground — state by state, town by town, and precinct by precinct. As Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman points out, Sanders does best with liberal whites, and “there is only one state where whites who self-identify as liberals make up a higher share of the Democratic primary electorate than Iowa and New Hampshire. You guessed it: Vermont.” So as soon as those two states are behind us, the campaign will move to places where African-Americans, among whom Hillary Clinton remains extremely popular, will make up a much larger share of the vote.

While Sanders would argue that he has a strong case to make to those voters about why they should support him, Clinton has ties to them that go back decades. And as a whole (and keep in mind that what I’m talking about doesn’t necessarily apply to any one individual even if it holds true for the group at large), African-Americans have a pragmatic view of politics. They had to fight — and some people even died — to secure the right to vote that whites always took for granted. They have to keep fighting to maintain that right in the face of a GOP that would put every impediment to the ballot it can find in front of them.

Ask anyone involved in Democratic politics about winning black votes in primaries, and they’ll tell you that it isn’t about hopes and dreams, though those are nice too. It’s about the nuts and bolts: the social networks, the key endorsers and officials, the neighborhood institutions, the systems that have been built up in the most trying circumstances to get people to the polls. Those kinds of factors matter among every voting bloc, but they’re particularly important among African-Americans. You can’t blow into town a week before election day with a bunch of eager white 20-something volunteers from somewhere else and win their votes.

It even took African-Americans a long time to commit to Barack Obama — against Clinton — during the 2008 primaries, despite the fact that he would become the first black president and today continues to command near-unanimous support from them. It wasn’t until he won the Iowa caucuses, making clear that he had a good shot at winning the nomination, that they began moving in large numbers away from their prior support of Clinton and toward him. And it’s no accident that one of the main lines of argument Clinton has been using lately is that Sanders has been insufficiently loyal to Obama. There are lots of Democratic voters among whom that might resonate, but none more than African-Americans.

So Sanders has multiple challenges among African-American voters: to show them that he’s really on their side, to show them that he really can win, and to do the complicated work in the field that will get them to the polls to pull the lever for him. He may be able to do all that, but it won’t be easy.

 

By: Paul Waldman, Senior Writer, The American Prospect; Contributor, The Plum Line Blog, The Washington Post, January 22, 2016

January 23, 2016 - Posted by | African Americans, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton | , , , , , , , ,

6 Comments »

  1. I’m so tired of reading how challenging it is for Bernie to get the black vote away from a Clinton! If the African American community was really “informed” about the difference between the two as far as BLM goes, Bernie woud win in a landslide!

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    Comment by lrfalstad | January 25, 2016 | Reply

    • I feel you are misguided in your assessment. African Americans are very “informed” and involved in the politics of this country. BLM, just as Cornell West does not speak for all Black people, especially me. I would be willing to bet that neither Donald Trump nor Te Cruz speaks for all whites.

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      Comment by raemd95 | January 27, 2016 | Reply

      • You misread my comment. I was not saying African Americans are not informed. I was saying if the African American community was as informed about Bernie as well as they are about Hillary because the Clintons have always been very well known in the African American community and Bernie has not. Again, I am just tired of all the black/white contentions in this election and I feel the Hillary campaign fuels it! Why don’t you post something about how much Bernie Sanders has done for the African American community since he entered politics? Maybe that would help to know him better.

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        Comment by lrfalstad | January 28, 2016

      • Understood. As I have said before, The White House must remain in the hands of Democrats. I think African Americans are looking at both Democratic candidates, either of which would govern far better than any GOP candidate. The question remains however, which of the two is most likely to win in the general election? Bernie has a long and accomplished history. He has great ideas. The problem as I see it is translating those ideas into practical governing, especially in all liklihood, faced with another Republican Congress.

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        Comment by raemd95 | January 28, 2016

      • This brings us to the “crux” of the matter, whether black or white. Hillary supporters think she can get more done with Republicans. Bernie supporters don’t want more of the same “compromises” that have done nothing for equality, whether it be in civil rights or income. This is the choice.

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        Comment by lrfalstad | January 29, 2016

      • Absolutely nothing of consequence will be accomplished without compromise on both sides. John Boehner, during an interview on 60 minutes, could not bring himself to use the word “compromise”. This is why we have so much gridlock. Governing is reaching compromise and expanding on your ideas in incremental steps. Some believe that they can get the whole loaf with sheer will or the snap of their fingers. It will never happen. No matter the purity of one’s heart, there is no role for dictators in a Democracy.

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        Comment by raemd95 | January 29, 2016


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